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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 64.1% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect Evan Engram to garner 7.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Evan Engram has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 23.9% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 100th percentile among TEs.

Evan Engram has posted a staggering 40.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Jacksonville offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

Evan Engram's 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a remarkable decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 81.3% figure.

The Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.2%) to tight ends this year (66.2%).

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