Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 20, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 62.3 per game on average).
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
In this game, Evan Engram is expected by the predictive model to rank in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 8.7 targets.

Favors Under

This year, the formidable Saints defense has allowed a mere 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-fewest in the league.
This year, the fierce Saints defense has conceded a paltry 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Saints linebackers grade out as the 8th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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