Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Evan Engram has run a route on 80.6% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Evan Engram to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
Evan Engram has posted a monstrous 34.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (69.6%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (69.6%).

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