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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Evan Engram to accrue 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Evan Engram has been a more important option in his team's passing attack this year (23.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.6%).

When it comes to air yards, Evan Engram grades out in the towering 91st percentile among tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 40.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jaguars are predicted by the projection model to run 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

Evan Engram's 4.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects an impressive diminishment in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.0% figure.

The Tennessee Titans defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 43.0) versus tight ends this year.

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