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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to use backup QB C.J. Beathard.

The Jaguars rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 65.5% pass rate.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.82 seconds per snap, the model projects the Jaguars as the 10th-quickest in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Our trusted projections expect Evan Engram to garner 8.5 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Evan Engram's 23.4% Target Rate this season signifies a significant growth in his passing attack usage over last season's 17.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars are a giant 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Evan Engram's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating a measly 4.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.00 rate last season.

This year, the stout Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a meager 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 3rd-best in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Carolina's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the league.

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