Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
The projections expect Evan Engram to garner 6.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among TEs.
When it comes to air yards, Evan Engram grades out in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling an astounding 34.0 per game.
Evan Engram's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 36.6.
With a stellar 47.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (93rd percentile) this year, Evan Engram ranks as one of the best TE receiving threats in the league.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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