Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+112/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
In this contest, Evan Engram is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 96th percentile among TEs with 7.4 targets.

Favors Under

The Texans pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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