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Eric Saubert

Eric Saubert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Eric Saubert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.

While Eric Saubert has garnered 1.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be much more involved in San Francisco's offense in this contest at 10.0%.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded a colossal 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus tight ends since the start of last season, surrendering 8.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 61.7 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

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