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Eric Saubert
NFL · Player Props
Eric Saubert
TE · Denver Broncos
Receiving Yards
Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 26, 2022 12:05 AM UTC
NFL Props Eric Saubert Receiving Yards

Eric Saubert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -138.

Favors Over
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • Eric Saubert has garnered a colossal 8.7% of his offense's air yards this year: 78th percentile among tight ends.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.68 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line has allowed their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • Eric Saubert has run a route on 13.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 17th percentile among tight ends.
  • Eric Saubert has been among the weakest pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging just 7.0 yards per game while grading out in the 6th percentile among tight ends.
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