Equanimeous St. Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Equanimeous St. Brown

NFL · Player Props

Equanimeous St. Brown

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 5, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Equanimeous St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-208).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
While Equanimeous St. Brown has accounted for 11.1% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Chicago's passing attack in this game at 5.4%.
With a paltry 1.3 adjusted catches per game (21st percentile) since the start of last season, Equanimeous St. Brown stands as one of the worst WRs in the league in the league.

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