Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Equanimeous St. Brown

NFL · Player Props

Equanimeous St. Brown

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 5, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (192.0) versus wide receivers this year.
This year, the weak Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a colossal 9.83 yards.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
While Equanimeous St. Brown has accounted for 11.1% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Chicago's passing attack in this game at 5.4%.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of CBs has been great this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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