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Equanimeous St. Brown

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Equanimeous St. Brown has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (80.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (29.4%).

Equanimeous St. Brown has notched significantly more air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).

Equanimeous St. Brown has compiled significantly more receiving yards per game (24.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).

Equanimeous St. Brown has been among the leading WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 80th percentile.

The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the league (184.0) to WRs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 49.2 plays per game.

The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

More Equanimeous St. Brown Player Props

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