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Equanimeous St. Brown
NFL · Player Props
Equanimeous St. Brown
WR · Chicago Bears
Receiving Yards
Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC
NFL Props Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (34.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has put up many more receiving yards per game (24.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).
Favors Under
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 83.0% of snaps vs just 34.2% last season.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
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