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Equanimeous St. Brown

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Equanimeous St. Brown has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (12.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (3.5%).

Equanimeous St. Brown has put up many more air yards this season (35.0 per game) than he did last season (11.0 per game).

Equanimeous St. Brown has posted significantly more receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (10.0).

The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 43.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in football.

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