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Equanimeous St. Brown

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Equanimeous St. Brown to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack this week (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.7% in games he has played).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.4%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has posted a meager 12.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 19th percentile among wideouts.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has been among the bottom WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 10.0 yards per game while ranking in the 14th percentile among WRs.

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