Emari Demercado Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

NFL · Player Props

Emari Demercado

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Emari Demercado Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.06 seconds per play.
The model projects Emari Demercado to accrue 13.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
While Emari Demercado has accounted for 15.6% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Arizona's run game in this game at 50.5%.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Baltimore's safety corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The Cardinals are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 6th-worst in the league last year.