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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Emanuel Wilson has been a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this season (19.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (5.6%).

Emanuel Wilson ranks as one of the leading running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a remarkable 3.20 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-least run-focused team in the league (37.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.

This year, the stout Lions run defense has allowed a paltry 95.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

The Lions safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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