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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • At the present time, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.
  • Emanuel Wilson has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (21.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.6%).
  • With a fantastic rate of 3.30 yards after contact (77th percentile), Emanuel Wilson places as one of the unyielding running backs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Packers as the 7th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This year, the tough Jaguars run defense has surrendered a feeble 106.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 7th-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Jacksonville's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 7th-best in the league.

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