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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Emanuel Wilson has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this season (20.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (5.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 5th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.0% run rate.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 110.0 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Houston's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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