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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

At the present time, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Packers.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

With an outstanding record of 4.77 adjusted yards per carry (81st percentile), Emanuel Wilson has been among the best pure runners in the league this year.

Emanuel Wilson is positioned as one of the best running backs in the league at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an excellent 3.25 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

Emanuel Wilson's 21.7% Snap% this year conveys a significant gain in his offensive volume over last year's 7.5% figure.

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