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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

With a 44.8% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL has been the Packers.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Emanuel Wilson has been much more involved in his offense's running game this season (17.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (5.6%).

Emanuel Wilson's running efficiency (4.68 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (77th percentile among RBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the imposing Miami Dolphins run defense has conceded a paltry 107.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 9th-best in the league.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Miami's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

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