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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Emanuel Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After accounting for 5.6% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Emanuel Wilson has had a larger role in the ground game this season, now accounting for 19.4%.

This year, the tough Bears run defense has conceded a feeble 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 26th-lowest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 10th-least run-centric offense in the league (38.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Green Bay Packers.

The Bears safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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