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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • Emanuel Wilson's 24.2% Route Participation Rate this season shows an impressive boost in his passing attack volume over last season's 5.8% rate.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Packers profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers getting after the quarterback, Houston's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Emanuel Wilson has put up a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • This year, the strong Texans defense has surrendered a paltry 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the 2nd-best in the NFL.
  • This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has allowed a measly 74.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the best rate in football.

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