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Emanuel Wilson

Emanuel Wilson Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Emanuel Wilson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 136.1 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Emanuel Wilson has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this season (20.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (5.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Packers to be the 5th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.0% run rate.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Houston's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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