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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Elijah Moore is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.
  • Elijah Moore's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 60.8% to 74.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Elijah Moore's 32.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 43.4.
  • The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of CBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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