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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Elijah Moore's 26.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 43.4.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.

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