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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

Elijah Moore's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 60.8% to 69.5%.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Elijah Moore's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 43.4.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Elijah Moore's 2.7 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a noteworthy regression in his receiving ability over last season's 3.7 rate.

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