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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% pass rate.
  • Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
  • Elijah Moore's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 60.8% to 66.4%.
  • The Washington cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Elijah Moore's 28.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 43.4.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

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