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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-166).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
  • This week's line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are massive -10-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns as the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Browns this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Bengals pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.3%) to wide receivers this year (63.3%).

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