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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Elijah Moore's 34.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 43.4.

The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Saints pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.6%) vs. wideouts this year (62.6%).

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