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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Browns have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 65.9 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Elijah Moore is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.2 targets.
  • Elijah Moore's 43.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 27.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Browns are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Elijah Moore's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 65.3% to 59.3%.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.2%) vs. WRs this year (62.2%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New York's unit has been great this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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