Elijah Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Elijah Moore has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (19.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.2%).
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Elijah Moore's 59.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 65.3% mark.

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