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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate.

The projections expect the Browns to run the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 8th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average).

The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.0 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After averaging 69.0 air yards per game last season, Elijah Moore has seen a big downtick this season, now boasting 23.0 per game.

Elijah Moore's 27.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 43.4.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Elijah Moore has posted a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).

Elijah Moore's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, totaling a measly 4.74 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.99 figure last season.

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