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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
  • This week's line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are massive -10-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns as the most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Browns this year (a colossal 62.1 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Elijah Moore has notched quite a few less air yards this season (58.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Elijah Moore's 5.8 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last season's 7.0 rate.
  • Elijah Moore's 1.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a noteworthy regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.2% rate.

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