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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 64.1% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.4 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Elijah Moore has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).

The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Elijah Moore has put up significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).

Elijah Moore's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a mere 5.79 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.99 mark last season.

Elijah Moore's 1.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a material decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.2% rate.

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