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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Elijah Moore has put up far fewer air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).

Elijah Moore's 34.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 43.4.

The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Elijah Moore has accumulated substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (43.0).

Elijah Moore's 5.5 adjusted yards per target this season marks a meaningful drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 7.0 mark.

More Elijah Moore Player Props

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