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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 66.1 plays per game.
  • Elijah Moore has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (86.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (75.6%).
  • Elijah Moore has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 9.16 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Browns, who are overwhelmingly favored by 13.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 48.4% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Elijah Moore's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 65.3% to 60.0%.

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