Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
Elijah Moore's 21.0% Target Rate this year represents a an impressive growth in his air attack usage over last year's 11.2% figure.
Elijah Moore has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (53.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 52.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Elijah Moore's 5.4 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a a noteable decline in his receiving talent over last season's 7.8 figure.

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