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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

Elijah Moore has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (19.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.2%).

Elijah Moore has posted quite a few more air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Elijah Moore's 59.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 65.3% mark.

Elijah Moore's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a measly 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.75 rate last year.

This year, the daunting Chicago Bears defense has conceded a measly 145.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 10th-best in football.

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