Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
Elijah Moore's 85.9% Route Participation% this season signifies a substantial progression in his pass attack utilization over last season's 75.6% figure.
After totaling 46.0 air yards per game last season, Elijah Moore has posted big gains this season, now pacing 54.0 per game.

Favors Under

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Elijah Moore's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 65.3% to 61.8%.
Elijah Moore's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, compiling a measly 6.15 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.75 rate last season.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 139.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 6.48 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

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