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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The New York Jets offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 26.56 seconds per play.

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Elijah Moore has been used less as a potential target this year (88.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (65.9%).

The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Elijah Moore has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (65.0 per game) than he did last year (83.0 per game).

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Elijah Moore's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this season, accumulating a mere 2.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.81 mark last season.

The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (61.5%) versus wideouts this year (61.5%).

The New England Patriots pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus WRs this year, allowing 7.74 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.

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