Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Elijah Moore has been less involved as a potential target this year (91.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (65.9%).
Elijah Moore has posted a whopping 84.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Elijah Moore's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, compiling a measly 2.07 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.81 mark last season.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (60.3%) versus wide receivers this year (60.3%).
The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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