Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Elijah Moore has been used less as a potential target this season (76.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (65.5%).
Elijah Moore's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 58.2% to 62.9%.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 5th-least in football.
Elijah Moore has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (83.0 per game).
The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Elijah Moore has compiled many fewer receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).
Elijah Moore's talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, averaging just 2.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.81 mark last year.

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