Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 23, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Elijah Moore's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 58.2% to 61.7%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The New York Jets O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Elijah Moore has posted far fewer air yards this year (54.0 per game) than he did last year (83.0 per game).
Elijah Moore's 31.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 48.5.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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