Elijah Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+284/-491).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -439 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -491.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (22.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.5% in games he has played).
Elijah Moore has put up a monstrous 81.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among WRs.
Elijah Moore's 47.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 76th percentile for WRs.
Elijah Moore ranks in the 91st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.42 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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