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Elijah Mitchell

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-centric team in football (41.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.

The 49ers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football last year at run-game blocking.

Elijah Mitchell's running efficiency (5.09 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (89th percentile among RBs).

With a terrific total of 3.14 yards after contact (83rd percentile), Elijah Mitchell places among the most efficient RBs in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

After comprising 29.1% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Elijah Mitchell has been called on less the rushing attack this year, currently comprising only 15.9%.

The Vikings defense has produced the 5th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 3.78 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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