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Elijah Mitchell

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.1 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • While Elijah Mitchell has garnered 17.7% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of San Francisco's run game in this contest at 6.6%.
  • Elijah Mitchell's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a material diminishment in his running talent over last year's 6.2 mark.

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