Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Elijah Mitchell

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Mitchell

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 7-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored in this game, implying much more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
In regards to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the 7th-best in the league last year.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Seattle's unit has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
Elijah Mitchell has been a less important option in his offense's run game this season (13.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (29.1%).
Elijah Mitchell's ground efficiency has diminished this season, compiling a mere 2.69 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 6.15 rate last season.

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