Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Elijah Mitchell

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Mitchell

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.9% run rate.
Elijah Mitchell has received 29.1% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile among RBs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Elijah Mitchell's running efficiency (6.16 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (95th percentile among running backs).
Elijah Mitchell has been among the leading running backs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 3.24 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.28 yards-per-carry.

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