Elijah Mitchell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Elijah Mitchell

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Mitchell

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Elijah Mitchell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Since the start of last season, the poor Vikings pass defense has been torched for a colossal 85.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the largest rate in the league.

Favors Under

This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
When talking about air yards, Elijah Mitchell grades out in the lowly 4th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, averaging just -4.0 per game.

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